Decision Tree Classification Prediction of Covid-19 Cases in Indonesia

Prediksi Kasus Covid-19 di Indonesia Menggunakan Metode Klasifikasi Decision Tree

Abstract

Forecasting is the prediction of an event in the present and future using past event data. The purpose of forecasting is to minimize errors in predictions (forecast errors) to provide a higher level of confidence. In the context of the COVID-19 pandemic, forecasting the number of cases can help anticipate surges, allowing for better-preparedness to minimize its impact. Forecasting methods can be categorized into three common classifications: qualitative methods, time series, and causal methods. Time series methods are further divided into statistical methods and machine learning. Machine learning methods are more effective in forecasting as they can accommodate non-linear and complex relationships between inputs and outputs. One of the machine learning methods used is the Decision Tree, which is a predictive model structured in a tree or hierarchical format. The Decision tree is a data processing method for predicting the future by constructing classification and regression models in a tree structure. The decision tree is also the most popular and easily understood classification method. In this study, a classification decision tree is used to forecast positive COVID-19 cases in Indonesia using the Python programming language.